Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.426785 0.505036 0.592308 0.696674 0.817897 0.954067 1.118423
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.306460 0.405269 0.526961 0.687108 0.891484 1.142670 1.473778
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.252868 0.364920 0.514017 0.725240 1.014786 1.395488 1.931223
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.198062 0.308449 0.465500 0.702505 1.047712 1.528052 2.241788
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.168969 0.280976 0.449732 0.718423 1.130261 1.731023 2.664797
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.146117 0.257901 0.435275 0.731604 1.206902 1.929777 3.098664
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.124145 0.231851 0.411299 0.724897 1.249564 2.078855 3.469368
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.107154 0.210998 0.392073 0.721994 1.295828 2.235373 3.863668
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.097874 0.202171 0.391636 0.749967 1.395109 2.484833 4.429112
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.096878 0.208577 0.418781 0.829265 1.590395 2.910505 5.324472
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.089453 0.201085 0.419007 0.858862 1.699522 3.197586 6.006499
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.078476 0.184478 0.399379 0.848106 1.732653 3.352907 6.469056
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.065704 0.162285 0.366408 0.808761 1.710610 3.412586 6.776893
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.055540 0.144054 0.338949 0.776942 1.699656 3.492065 7.130088
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052372 0.141499 0.344541 0.814782 1.832531 3.856942 8.055591
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.044929 0.127164 0.321875 0.788378 1.829081 3.954678 8.470542
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.041377 0.121947 0.319203 0.805844 1.920085 4.248002 9.296198
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.038036 0.116654 0.315547 0.820450 2.006099 4.538117 10.138728
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.033887 0.108348 0.303273 0.812977 2.041557 4.725104 10.782673
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.030450 0.101385 0.293318 0.809744 2.086111 4.934835 11.491015
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.028912 0.099728 0.296937 0.840855 2.214565 5.337986 12.646829
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.029794 0.105650 0.321668 0.929000 2.488716 6.086127 14.612335
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.028333 0.103926 0.325164 0.961882 2.630592 6.546638 15.972483